Warriors vs Suns prediction
Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns, Saturday, October 24, 2026 · Mortgage Matchup Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Suns 116, Warriors 109.
Final: PHX 131–122. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Suns 116, Warriors 109 (the Suns won 54% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Suns won 54% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Yaxel Lendeborg Warriors 20 pts · 8 reb · 5 ast
- Gui Santos Warriors 17 pts · 4 reb · 3 ast
- Jalen Green Suns 27 pts · 1 reb · 4 ast
- Devin Booker Suns 18 pts · 5 reb · 4 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 28 | 23 | 25 | 33 | 109 |
| PHX | 30 | 27 | 32 | 27 | 116 |
Top scorers: Jalen Green 27, Yaxel Lendeborg 20, Devin Booker 18, Gui Santos 17, Miles Bridges 17, De'Anthony Melton 14
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.