Warriors vs Lakers prediction
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers, Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · crypto.com Arena. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Lakers 118, Warriors 115.
Final: LAL 127–105. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Lakers 118, Warriors 115 (the Lakers won 56% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Lakers won 56% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 28 | 23 | 26 | 38 | 115 |
| LAL | 34 | 30 | 23 | 31 | 118 |
Top scorers: Luka Doncic 27, Gui Santos 25, Austin Reaves 23, Walker Kessler 21, Gary Payton II 19, Ziaire Williams 19
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.