Trail Blazers vs Kings prediction
Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings, Friday, October 23, 2026 · Golden 1 Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Trail Blazers 120, Kings 111.
Final: POR 128–120. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Trail Blazers 120, Kings 111 (the Trail Blazers won 70% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Trail Blazers won 70% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Deni Avdija Trail Blazers 22 pts · 8 reb · 11 ast
- Jrue Holiday Trail Blazers 21 pts · 6 reb · 0 ast
- Domantas Sabonis Kings 19 pts · 7 reb · 5 ast
- Precious Achiuwa Kings 16 pts · 10 reb · 3 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 32 | 23 | 32 | 33 | 120 |
| SAC | 22 | 32 | 27 | 30 | 111 |
Top scorers: Deni Avdija 22, Jrue Holiday 21, Ja Morant 19, Domantas Sabonis 19, Damian Lillard 18, Malik Monk 16
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.