Minnesota Timberwolves at Orlando Magic, Friday, October 23, 2026 · Kia Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Timberwolves 116, Magic 115.
Final: MIN 115–93. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Timberwolves 116, Magic 115 (the Timberwolves won 55% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Timberwolves won 55% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 35 | 22 | 29 | 30 | 116 |
| ORL | 31 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 115 |
Top scorers: Anthony Edwards 31, Tristan da Silva 24, Jalen Suggs 22, Ayo Dosunmu 21, Franz Wagner 16, Jaden McDaniels 15
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.