Suns vs Trail Blazers prediction

Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers, Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · Moda Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Trail Blazers 115, Suns 112.

Final: POR 124–83. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Trail Blazers 115, Suns 112 (the Trail Blazers won 56% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.

Most plausible outcome

Phoenix Suns112
Portland Trail Blazers115

The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Trail Blazers won 56% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.

How it played out: quarter by quarter

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
PHX27392422112
POR18372535115

Top scorers: Deni Avdija 28, Jrue Holiday 26, Jalen Green 25, Devin Booker 24, Scoot Henderson 20, Collin Gillespie 18

This week's simulations

How it works

Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology

Research, not advice

The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.