Raptors vs Wizards prediction
Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards, Friday, October 23, 2026 · Capital One Arena. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Raptors 120, Wizards 114.
Final: TOR 112–102. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Raptors 120, Wizards 114 (the Raptors won 64% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Raptors won 64% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Kawhi Leonard Raptors 26 pts · 17 reb · 2 ast
- RJ Barrett Raptors 26 pts · 9 reb · 4 ast
- Bub Carrington Wizards 27 pts · 1 reb · 5 ast
- Anthony Davis Wizards 26 pts · 20 reb · 3 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 24 | 30 | 27 | 39 | 120 |
| WSH | 28 | 35 | 31 | 20 | 114 |
Top scorers: Bub Carrington 27, Kawhi Leonard 26, RJ Barrett 26, Anthony Davis 26, Collin Murray-Boyles 20, Jakob Poeltl 16
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.