Raptors vs Timberwolves prediction
Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Target Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Raptors 118, Timberwolves 113.
Final: MIN 117–94. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Raptors 118, Timberwolves 113 (the Raptors won 52% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Raptors won 52% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- RJ Barrett Raptors 22 pts · 6 reb · 3 ast
- Scottie Barnes Raptors 18 pts · 8 reb · 6 ast
- Anthony Edwards Timberwolves 31 pts · 2 reb · 4 ast
- LaMelo Ball Timberwolves 21 pts · 5 reb · 6 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 35 | 32 | 16 | 35 | 118 |
| MIN | 21 | 37 | 34 | 21 | 113 |
Top scorers: Anthony Edwards 31, RJ Barrett 22, LaMelo Ball 21, Jamal Shead 18, Scottie Barnes 18, Bones Hyland 17
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.