Pelicans vs Nuggets prediction
New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets, Saturday, October 24, 2026 · Ball Arena. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Nuggets 122, Pelicans 118.
Final: DEN 141–135. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Nuggets 122, Pelicans 118 (the Nuggets won 64% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Nuggets won 64% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Jeremiah Fears Pelicans 23 pts · 1 reb · 3 ast
- Zion Williamson Pelicans 20 pts · 5 reb · 3 ast
- Nikola Jokic Nuggets 27 pts · 11 reb · 5 ast
- DeMar DeRozan Nuggets 24 pts · 1 reb · 6 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 25 | 26 | 31 | 36 | 118 |
| DEN | 21 | 35 | 27 | 39 | 122 |
Top scorers: Nikola Jokic 27, DeMar DeRozan 24, Jeremiah Fears 23, Zion Williamson 20, Saddiq Bey 18, Christian Braun 15
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.