Pelicans vs Jazz prediction
New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz, Friday, October 23, 2026 · Delta Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Pelicans 119, Jazz 117.
Final: UTAH 120–119. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Pelicans 119, Jazz 117 (the Pelicans won 55% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Pelicans won 55% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Zion Williamson Pelicans 32 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast
- Trey Murphy III Pelicans 24 pts · 8 reb · 3 ast
- Brice Sensabaugh Jazz 23 pts · 3 reb · 4 ast
- Jaren Jackson Jr. Jazz 20 pts · 15 reb · 2 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 28 | 32 | 31 | 28 | 119 |
| UTAH | 25 | 18 | 34 | 40 | 117 |
Top scorers: Zion Williamson 32, Trey Murphy III 24, Brice Sensabaugh 23, Jaren Jackson Jr. 20, Isaiah Collier 19, Keyonte George 16
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.