Pacers vs Pelicans prediction
Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans, Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · Smoothie King Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Pelicans 121, Pacers 118.
Final: IND 123–120. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Pelicans 121, Pacers 118 (the Pelicans won 51% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Pelicans won 51% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 30 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 118 |
| NO | 29 | 31 | 34 | 27 | 121 |
Top scorers: Obi Toppin 35, Bennedict Mathurin 26, Saddiq Bey 18, Dejounte Murray 15, Jarace Walker 15, Derik Queen 14
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.