Knicks vs Celtics prediction
New York Knicks at Boston Celtics, Friday, October 23, 2026 · TD Garden. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Celtics 116, Knicks 112.
Final: BOS 107–103. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Celtics 116, Knicks 112 (the Celtics won 59% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Celtics won 59% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Jalen Brunson Knicks 24 pts · 3 reb · 9 ast
- Karl-Anthony Towns Knicks 18 pts · 10 reb · 3 ast
- Paul George Celtics 28 pts · 9 reb · 3 ast
- Sam Hauser Celtics 20 pts · 8 reb · 2 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 27 | 27 | 33 | 25 | 112 |
| BOS | 30 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 116 |
Top scorers: Paul George 28, Jalen Brunson 24, Sam Hauser 20, Karl-Anthony Towns 18, Payton Pritchard 17, Josh Hart 16
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.