Jazz vs Grizzlies prediction
Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies, Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · FedExForum. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Grizzlies 125, Jazz 119.
Final: MEM 123–103. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Grizzlies 125, Jazz 119 (the Grizzlies won 63% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Grizzlies won 63% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 27 | 26 | 26 | 40 | 119 |
| MEM | 32 | 24 | 34 | 35 | 125 |
Top scorers: Jaren Jackson Jr. 28, Cedric Coward 22, Jaylen Wells 21, Ty Jerome 20, Lauri Markkanen 18, Keyonte George 17
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.