Heat vs Hornets prediction
Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets, Saturday, October 24, 2026 · Spectrum Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Hornets 117, Heat 112.
Final: CHA 115–110. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Hornets 117, Heat 112 (the Hornets won 50% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Hornets won 50% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Giannis Antetokounmpo Heat 28 pts · 8 reb · 3 ast
- Bobby Portis Heat 21 pts · 8 reb · 3 ast
- Brandon Miller Hornets 28 pts · 1 reb · 4 ast
- Naz Reid Hornets 18 pts · 3 reb · 2 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 24 | 26 | 41 | 21 | 112 |
| CHA | 26 | 27 | 35 | 29 | 117 |
Top scorers: Giannis Antetokounmpo 28, Brandon Miller 28, Bobby Portis 21, Naz Reid 18, Andrew Wiggins 17, Grayson Allen 14
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.