Hawks vs Magic prediction
Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic, Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · Kia Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Hawks 117, Magic 114.
Final: ATL 132–125. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Hawks 117, Magic 114 (the Hawks won 53% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Hawks won 53% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 35 | 25 | 33 | 24 | 117 |
| ORL | 23 | 27 | 30 | 34 | 114 |
Top scorers: Franz Wagner 24, Jalen Johnson 23, Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21, CJ McCollum 21, Jalen Suggs 20, Onyeka Okongwu 19
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.