Hawks vs Hornets prediction
Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets, Friday, October 23, 2026 · Spectrum Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Hawks 115, Hornets 114.
Final: ATL 128–81. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Hawks 115, Hornets 114 (the Hawks won 52% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Hawks won 52% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Hawks 40 pts · 5 reb · 2 ast
- CJ McCollum Hawks 24 pts · 5 reb · 4 ast
- Brandon Miller Hornets 39 pts · 5 reb · 3 ast
- Grayson Allen Hornets 26 pts · 1 reb · 2 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 21 | 29 | 34 | 31 | 115 |
| CHA | 33 | 20 | 23 | 38 | 114 |
Top scorers: Nickeil Alexander-Walker 40, Brandon Miller 39, Grayson Allen 26, CJ McCollum 24, Naz Reid 14, Onyeka Okongwu 12
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.