Grizzlies vs Warriors prediction
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors, Friday, October 23, 2026 · Chase Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Warriors 118, Grizzlies 117.
Final: MEM 111–108. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Warriors 118, Grizzlies 117 (the Warriors won 50% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Warriors won 50% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- GG Jackson Grizzlies 25 pts · 11 reb · 1 ast
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper Grizzlies 19 pts · 1 reb · 3 ast
- Brandon Williams Warriors 22 pts · 8 reb · 2 ast
- Yaxel Lendeborg Warriors 19 pts · 3 reb · 3 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 35 | 28 | 24 | 30 | 117 |
| GS | 21 | 38 | 24 | 35 | 118 |
Top scorers: GG Jackson 25, Brandon Williams 22, Olivier-Maxence Prosper 19, Yaxel Lendeborg 19, Stephen Curry 18, Jaylen Wells 18
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.