Grizzlies vs Kings prediction

Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Golden 1 Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Grizzlies 121, Kings 113.

Final: MEM 123–112. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Grizzlies 121, Kings 113 (the Grizzlies won 64% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.

Most plausible outcome

Memphis Grizzlies121
Sacramento Kings113

The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Grizzlies won 64% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.

Top performers

How it played out: quarter by quarter

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
MEM16373830121
SAC30273521113

Top scorers: Darius Acuff Jr. 24, Zach LaVine 21, Ty Jerome 20, GG Jackson 19, Domantas Sabonis 19, Precious Achiuwa 16

This week's simulations

How it works

Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology

Research, not advice

The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.