Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Golden 1 Center. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Grizzlies 121, Kings 113.
Final: MEM 123–112. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Grizzlies 121, Kings 113 (the Grizzlies won 64% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Grizzlies won 64% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 16 | 37 | 38 | 30 | 121 |
| SAC | 30 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 113 |
Top scorers: Darius Acuff Jr. 24, Zach LaVine 21, Ty Jerome 20, GG Jackson 19, Domantas Sabonis 19, Precious Achiuwa 16
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.