Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers, Thursday, October 22, 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Cavaliers 117, 76ers 115.
Final: PHI 114–106. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Cavaliers 117, 76ers 115 (the Cavaliers won 55% of the simulations). The underdog won.
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Cavaliers won 55% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 27 | 24 | 24 | 30 | 12 | 117 |
| PHI | 22 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 10 | 115 |
Top scorers: James Harden 26, Tyrese Maxey 24, Donovan Mitchell 21, Joel Embiid 20, Jaylen Brown 19, Rayan Rupert 16
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.