Bulls vs Raptors prediction
Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors, Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · Scotiabank Arena. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Raptors 121, Bulls 115.
Final: TOR 135–92. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Raptors 121, Bulls 115 (the Raptors won 67% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Raptors won 67% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 32 | 22 | 27 | 34 | 115 |
| TOR | 19 | 35 | 30 | 37 | 121 |
Top scorers: Ja'Kobe Walter 30, Jalen Smith 25, Josh Giddey 22, Leonard Miller 19, RJ Barrett 18, Collin Murray-Boyles 16
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.