Bulls vs Bucks prediction
Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks, Friday, October 23, 2026 · Fiserv Forum. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Bucks 119, Bulls 114.
Final: CHI 132–125. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Bucks 119, Bulls 114 (the Bucks won 62% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Bucks won 62% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Matas Buzelis Bulls 25 pts · 13 reb · 4 ast
- Caleb Wilson Bulls 22 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast
- AJ Green Bucks 26 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast
- Ryan Rollins Bucks 24 pts · 3 reb · 7 ast
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 29 | 31 | 34 | 20 | 114 |
| MIL | 37 | 30 | 21 | 31 | 119 |
Top scorers: AJ Green 26, Matas Buzelis 25, Ryan Rollins 24, Caleb Wilson 22, Cormac Ryan 19, Leonard Miller 18
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.