Bucks vs Wizards prediction
Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards, Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · Capital One Arena. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Bucks 119, Wizards 115.
Final: WSH 128–116. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Bucks 119, Wizards 115 (the Bucks won 57% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Bucks won 57% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
How it played out: quarter by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 27 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 119 |
| WSH | 30 | 28 | 24 | 33 | 115 |
Top scorers: Tyler Herro 28, Trae Young 22, Anthony Davis 21, Bilal Coulibaly 18, Anthony Gill 18, Kyle Kuzma 17
How it works
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.