Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks, Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · Madison Square Garden. We simulated this game 10,000 times before tip-off, every possession drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Knicks 118, 76ers 109.
Final: PHI 106–100. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Knicks 118, 76ers 109 (the Knicks won 68% of the simulations). The underdog won.
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Knicks won 68% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 26 | 31 | 25 | 27 | 109 |
| NY | 40 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 118 |
Top scorers: Jose Alvarado 26, Jaylen Brown 26, Karl-Anthony Towns 25, Joel Embiid 23, Jalen Brunson 17, Tyrese Maxey 17
Every possession starts from how the last one ended (fast breaks after steals and defensive rebounds); each shooter takes his own shots by zone against what this defense allows, with assists through the real passing network, blocks, steals, offensive rebounds, rest and late-game rotations. Methodology
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.