Steelers vs Saints prediction
Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Stade de France. We simulated this game 10,000 times before kickoff, every snap drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Steelers 24, Saints 20.
Final: PIT 16–10. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Steelers 24, Saints 20 (the Steelers won 62% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Steelers won 62% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Aaron Rodgers Steelers 213 pass yds · 1 TD
- Jaylen Warren Steelers 70 rush yds · 2 TD
- Germie Bernard Steelers 4 rec · 67 yds
- Tyler Shough Saints 235 pass yds · 1 TD
- Kendre Miller Saints 57 rush yds · 1 TD
- Chris Olave Saints 5 rec · 117 yds · 1 TD
How it played out: scoring plays
- 1stPIT Rodgers to Metcalf, 7-yd TD 7–0
- 2ndNO 52-yd field goal 7–3
- 2ndPIT Warren 1-yd TD run 14–3
- 2ndNO Shough to Olave, 47-yd TD 14–10
- 2ndPIT 41-yd field goal 17–10
- 3rdNO Miller 1-yd TD run 17–17
- 3rdPIT Warren 20-yd TD run 24–17
- 3rdNO 53-yd field goal 24–20
How it works
Every snap uses real plays from the same down, distance and field position, adjusted for this offense against this defense, with weather, penalties, turnovers, kicks and the clock. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.