Packers vs Lions prediction
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Ford Field. We simulated this game 10,000 times before kickoff, every snap drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Lions 25, Packers 19.
Final: DET 20–17. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Lions 25, Packers 19 (the Lions won 54% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Lions won 54% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Jordan Love Packers 269 pass yds · 1 TD
- MarShawn Lloyd Packers 38 rush yds
- Matthew Golden Packers 8 rec · 129 yds
- Jared Goff Lions 262 pass yds · 1 TD
- Jahmyr Gibbs Lions 93 rush yds · 1 TD
- Amon-Ra St. Brown Lions 5 rec · 52 yds
How it played out: scoring plays
- 1stDET Goff to Williams, 8-yd TD 0–7
- 2ndDET 30-yd field goal 0–10
- 2ndGB 44-yd field goal 3–10
- 2ndGB Love to Watson, 1-yd TD 10–10
- 3rdDET Safety 10–12
- 3rdDET 52-yd field goal 10–15
- 3rdDET 35-yd field goal 10–18
- 4thGB Strong 7-yd TD run 17–18
- 4thDET Gibbs 10-yd TD run 17–25
- 4thGB Safety 19–25
How it works
Every snap uses real plays from the same down, distance and field position, adjusted for this offense against this defense, with weather, penalties, turnovers, kicks and the clock. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.