Dolphins vs Jets prediction
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · MetLife Stadium. We simulated this game 10,000 times before kickoff, every snap drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Jets 23, Dolphins 19.
Final: MIA 28–25. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Jets 23, Dolphins 19 (the Jets won 51% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Jets won 51% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Malik Willis Dolphins 202 pass yds · 2 TD
- Ollie Gordon II Dolphins 43 rush yds · 1 TD
- Malik Washington Dolphins 6 rec · 68 yds
- Geno Smith Jets 243 pass yds · 1 TD
- Braelon Allen Jets 110 rush yds · 1 TD
- Garrett Wilson Jets 6 rec · 78 yds
How it played out: scoring plays
- 1stMIA 39-yd field goal 3–0
- 1stNYJ Smith to Cooper, 11-yd TD 3–7
- 1stMIA Willis to Dulcich, 18-yd TD 9–7
- 2ndNYJ Allen 1-yd TD run 9–14
- 2ndNYJ 35-yd field goal 9–17
- 3rdNYJ 26-yd field goal 9–20
- 3rdMIA 39-yd field goal 12–20
- 4thNYJ 55-yd field goal 12–23
- 4thMIA Willis to Gordon, 1-yd TD 19–23
How it works
Every snap uses real plays from the same down, distance and field position, adjusted for this offense against this defense, with weather, penalties, turnovers, kicks and the clock. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.