Colts vs Vikings prediction
Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · U.S. Bank Stadium. We simulated this game 10,000 times before kickoff, every snap drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Vikings 23, Colts 20.
Final: MIN 16–10. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Vikings 23, Colts 20 (the Vikings won 61% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Vikings won 61% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Daniel Jones Colts 199 pass yds · 1 TD
- Jonathan Taylor Colts 62 rush yds · 1 TD
- Josh Downs Colts 7 rec · 61 yds · 1 TD
- Kyler Murray Vikings 172 pass yds · 1 TD
- Aaron Jones Vikings 107 rush yds
- T.J. Hockenson Vikings 5 rec · 41 yds
How it played out: scoring plays
- 1stMIN Murray to Bartholomew, 9-yd TD 0–7
- 2ndIND Jones to Downs, 10-yd TD 7–7
- 2ndIND 46-yd field goal 10–7
- 3rdMIN Turnover returned for a TD 10–14
- 3rdIND 45-yd field goal 13–14
- 3rdMIN 46-yd field goal 13–17
- 3rdMIN 40-yd field goal 13–20
- 4thIND Taylor 46-yd TD run 20–20
- 4thMIN 30-yd field goal 20–23
How it works
Every snap uses real plays from the same down, distance and field position, adjusted for this offense against this defense, with weather, penalties, turnovers, kicks and the clock. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.