Chiefs vs Seahawks prediction
Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Lumen Field. We simulated this game 10,000 times before kickoff, every snap drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Seahawks 23, Chiefs 21.
Final: SEA 20–3. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Seahawks 23, Chiefs 21 (the Seahawks won 55% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Seahawks won 55% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Patrick Mahomes Chiefs 182 pass yds · 2 TD
- Kenneth Walker III Chiefs 89 rush yds
- Noah Gray Chiefs 1 rec · 53 yds
- Sam Darnold Seahawks 218 pass yds · 2 TD
- Emanuel Wilson Seahawks 79 rush yds
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba Seahawks 7 rec · 131 yds
How it played out: scoring plays
- 1stSEA 46-yd field goal 0–3
- 1stSEA Darnold to Shaheed, 3-yd TD 0–10
- 2ndKC Turnover returned for a TD 7–10
- 2ndSEA Darnold to Kupp, 16-yd TD 7–17
- 2ndSEA 42-yd field goal 7–20
- 4thKC Mahomes to Johnson, 18-yd TD 14–20
- 4thSEA 36-yd field goal 14–23
- 4thKC Mahomes to Kelce, 4-yd TD 21–23
How it works
Every snap uses real plays from the same down, distance and field position, adjusted for this offense against this defense, with weather, penalties, turnovers, kicks and the clock. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.