Broncos vs Cardinals prediction
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · State Farm Stadium. We simulated this game 10,000 times before kickoff, every snap drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: Broncos 27, Cardinals 20.
Final: DEN 30–16. Before the game the most plausible outcome was Broncos 27, Cardinals 20 (the Broncos won 62% of the simulations). The simulations' favorite won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the Broncos won 62% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Bo Nix Broncos 273 pass yds · 2 TD
- J.K. Dobbins Broncos 95 rush yds · 1 TD
- Jaylen Waddle Broncos 5 rec · 64 yds · 1 TD
- Jacoby Brissett Cardinals 225 pass yds · 1 TD
- Tyler Allgeier Cardinals 78 rush yds · 1 TD
- Trey McBride Cardinals 9 rec · 100 yds
How it played out: scoring plays
- 1stARI Allgeier 7-yd TD run 0–7
- 1stDEN Dobbins 28-yd TD run 7–7
- 2ndDEN Waddle 12-yd TD run 13–7
- 2ndARI Brissett to Wilson, 13-yd TD 13–14
- 2ndDEN Nix to Humphrey, 15-yd TD 20–14
- 3rdARI 40-yd field goal 20–17
- 3rdARI 31-yd field goal 20–20
- 4thDEN Nix to Sutton, 13-yd TD 27–20
How it works
Every snap uses real plays from the same down, distance and field position, adjusted for this offense against this defense, with weather, penalties, turnovers, kicks and the clock. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.