49ers vs Falcons prediction
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium. We simulated this game 10,000 times before kickoff, every snap drawn from real play-by-play data for this matchup. Most plausible outcome: 49ers 23, Falcons 21.
Final: ATL 29–20. Before the game the most plausible outcome was 49ers 23, Falcons 21 (the 49ers won 53% of the simulations). The underdog won.
Most plausible outcome
The likeliest final of 10,000 simulated games: the 49ers won 53% of them, and this is the result closest to both teams' middle scores.
Top performers
- Brock Purdy 49ers 222 pass yds · 1 TD
- Christian McCaffrey 49ers 77 rush yds · 1 TD
- George Kittle 49ers 7 rec · 86 yds
- Michael Penix Jr. Falcons 259 pass yds · 2 TD
- Bijan Robinson Falcons 84 rush yds
- Drake London Falcons 6 rec · 115 yds · 1 TD
How it played out: scoring plays
- 1stSF Turnover returned for a TD 7–0
- 2ndSF 31-yd field goal 10–0
- 2ndATL Penix to London, 29-yd TD 10–7
- 2ndSF 43-yd field goal 13–7
- 3rdSF 38-yd field goal 16–7
- 3rdATL Penix to Dotson, 28-yd TD 16–14
- 3rdSF Purdy to McCaffrey, 5-yd TD 23–14
- 4thATL Robinson 1-yd TD run 23–21
How it works
Every snap uses real plays from the same down, distance and field position, adjusted for this offense against this defense, with weather, penalties, turnovers, kicks and the clock. Methodology
Research, not advice
The most plausible outcome is the likeliest single result of the simulations; it is not a prediction or a guarantee. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.